NEW YORK (Reuters) - Americans are more likely than ever to favor easing a ban on exporting crude oil, so long as it does not lead to higher gasoline prices that have recently sunk to near $2 a gallon, according to a new Reuters-IPSOS poll.
In questions posed to more than 2,000 voting-age Americans earlier this month, around 45 percent generally agreed that oil drillers should be allowed to export domestic crude abroad, while just over 30 percent broadly disagreed. In September, supporters and opponents were both at around 40 percent.It was the first meaningful shift in opinion since Reuters-IPSOS began polling on the issue in October 2013. In the previous three surveys, respondents were generally split 50:50.The poll does not explain why U.S. public sentiment has shifted. However, several events in recent months may have moved the needle on one of the nation's most pressing, if little-debated, energy policy issues. U.S. retail gasoline prices have halved to near $2 a gallon, probably easing immediate anxiety over pump prices; a growing number of public officials have spoken out in favor of exports, including Obama advisors; and U.S. export regulators significantly eased restrictions in December.Signs of growing popular support for exports may encourage more politicians to take a clear stand on the issue, although most analysts do not expect significant action by either President Barack Obama or Congress in the near future.For politicians, who otherwise support free trade and energy development, the biggest hurdle to rolling back legislation that critics say is a relic from the 1970s seems to be fear of being blamed if gasoline prices were to rise.And indeed, American voters still remain largely opposed to exports under that scenario. Only around 22 percent of voters would still support exports if it meant higher gas prices, a figure barely changed from the previous survey.Lifting the ban will not be welcome for refiners, such as PBF Energy Inc