HONG KONG (Reuters) - Hong Kong is looking at a "new normal" economic growth rate of 2-4 percent, about half the pace at which it grew in 2011, as its export-dependent economy grapples with a slowdown in China and elsewhere, Financial Secretary John Tsang told Reuters.
The former British colony is facing huge challenges at a time when its retail, tourism and export sectors are slowing and China's economy is heading for its weakest growth in 25 years. "We are looking at a new normal, at the current level, at about 2-4 percent. That is not our normal growth in the past. We've had double digits as well," Tsang said on Wednesday. "As we get bigger...our growth rate will naturally reduce." Hong Kong's economy grew 2.8 percent in the second quarter this year, far below the heady rates of nearly 8 percent seen in the first quarter of 2011. The government forecasts growth for 2015 at between 2-3 percent, although some investment banks are less optimistic. Trade has been the main pillar of support for the local economy, contributing to more than a quarter of the city's GDP over the past three decades, but Hong Kong is now looking at other sources of growth such as domestic consumption."I have been making a lot of fiscal concessions...and that basically puts more money in people's hands so they consume more and that on average has contributed 1 percent of growth to GDP," said Tsang, who has held his current role since July 2007. PEG TO STAYThe Hong Kong dollar peg, in place since 1983, has come under strain in recent weeks due to renewed demand for the local currency in the wake of China's yuan devaluation, forcing the city's central bank to intervene to defend the peg.While some economists have suggested that Hong Kong could consider pegging its currency to the Chinese renminbi