Dems Want to Save the $600 Unemployment Boost. GOP Has Other Ideas.

Dems Want to Extend the $600
Unemployment Boost. GOP Has Other Ideas.

The $600-a-week federal boost to unemployment insurance
introduced by Congress in March is set to expire this month, and
the debate about whether or how to extend jobless benefits will be
central to negotiations on a next coronavirus relief bill —
negotiations that are likely to be difficult, with Democrats and
Republicans deeply divided. Here’s the latest:

Senate Democrats propose "automatic stabilizers":
Senate Democrats on Wednesday introduced
legislation
called the American Workforce
Rescue Act to extend the weekly benefit increase and tie it to
state unemployment levels.

The $600 increase would stay in place until a state’s
three-month average unemployment rate falls below 11%. The benefit
boost would then phase out after 13 weeks, falling by $100 for each
percentage point decrease in the unemployment rate until the rate
drops below 6 percent.

The bill would also continue a 13-week extension of
unemployment benefits through March and then tie the extension to
state unemployment rates, with additional 13-week extensions for
each percentage point the unemployment rate rises above 5.5%. It
would similarly extend the unemployment coverage Congress created
for self-employed, gig workers and others who aren’t eligible for
traditional unemployment through March 27, 2021, after which the
benefits are tied to state unemployment levels.

"If we fail to renew the $600 per week increase in UI,
millions of American families will have their legs cut out from
underneath them at the worst possible time—in the middle of a
pandemic when unemployment is higher than it's been since the Great
Depression," Schumer said in a
statement
. "The American Workforce
Rescue Act would tie the extension of enhanced UI
benefits to economic data—not politics. As the need goes down, so
will the benefits. As the need goes up, so will the
benefits."

Republicans say no to extending the $600 payments:
The Democratic-led House in May passed legislation that would
extend the $600 weekly payments through January, but the Senate
Democrats’ proposal represents a new marker for negotiations with
Republicans, who remain staunchly opposed to extending the payments
as currently structured, insisting that they create an incentive
for workers to stay away from their jobs — particularly low-income
employees who are making more on unemployment than they did at
work.

"You'd make more money if you don't go to work," President
Trump told Fox Business Network in an interview Wednesday,
apparently referring to the enhanced unemployment benefits even
though he was asked about additional stimulus payments. "We don't
want to have that. We want to have people get out, and we want to
create a tremendous incentive for people to want to go back to
work."

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) also said
this week that the $600 payments won't be in the next phase of
coronavirus relief, according to NBC News. "Unemployment is
extremely important. And we need to make sure, for those who are
not able to recover their jobs, unemployment is adequate,"
McConnell told reporters on Tuesday. "That is a different issue
from whether we ought to pay people a bonus not to go back to work.
And so I think that was a mistake."

The Congressional Budget Office
projected
last month that if the increase in
unemployment payments was extended for six months, about five in
six recipients would get benefits that exceeded what they could
expect to earn at work — and that economic output over the second
half of the year would be higher and spending by those workers
would be closer to normal than if the benefits weren’t
extended.

Some Senate Republicans and Trump administration officials
have supported the idea of return-to-work bonuses. But NBC News
reports that in interviews with nearly a dozen GOP senators on
Tuesday "one consistent theme emerged: They are certain they don't
want to extend the $600 per week in emergency jobless compensation
because they widely agree that it is motivating people to stay out
of work. But they have little clarity on what ought to replace
it."

Schumer on Tuesday pushed back on the GOP bonus idea. "The
back-to-work bonus pays people who are working. What about the
people who are unemployed and can’t get back to work?" he

said
. "I don’t get it, it’s illogical. If
unemployment insurance is supposed people who are unemployed,
back-to-work bonus doesn’t solve that problem."

Why it matters, part 1: The automatic stabilizers
in the new Schumer-Wyden proposal "would address a pernicious
problem Democrats have faced as they’ve tried to extend the
unemployment boost: The need to continually renegotiate benefits in
the face of the pandemic’s ever-changing economic outlook,"

writes
Kara Voght at Mother Jones. Given GOP
opposition, the bill likely won’t pass Congress, but Voght says
"it’s significant that Democratic leadership is embracing automatic
stabilizers, which have been championed mostly by progressive
economists and lawmakers."

Why it matters, part 2: The
unemployment benefit boost has provided a crucial safety net,

offsetting lost income
for millions of workers
laid off of furloughed during the pandemic. The national
unemployment rate remains above 13% and some 30 million
Americans are collecting unemployment benefits of some sort.
Nebraska (5.2%) was the only state with a May unemployment rate
below 8.5%, while 33
states
had rates of 10% or higher, including three
states — Michigan, Hawaii and Nevada — were above 20%. Economists
worry that without some extension of emergency unemployment
benefits, incomes would plunge — and spending vital to the economy
would follow.

Small Business Relief Program Gets a Surprise
Extension

The Senate passed an unexpected extension of the Paycheck
Protection Program Tuesday night, just a few hours before the $660
billion effort to aid small businesses was scheduled to cease
receiving applications. The House approved the last-minute bill
Wednesday, and if President Trump signs it as expected business
owners will have until August 8 to apply for forgivable loans
through the program.

The extension itself may not have a significant effect on
participation in the loan program, however. While the PPP has
approved about $520 billion in loans for nearly 5 million small
businesses so far, another $130 billion has gone unused, and
applications have slowed to a trickle in the last few weeks.

One problem for the program has been its requirement that the
majority of the borrowed funds be used for payroll expenses in
order for the loans to be converted to grants, a condition many
small business owners such as restaurateurs fear they may not be
able to satisfy.

While the extension, which required the agreement of all
100 senators, may not have a significant effect in the short run,
it does signal that lawmakers are serious about providing more aid
for small businesses. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said this
week that he was looking into the possibility of reprogramming any
remaining PPP funds to help businesses in other ways. Whatever the
mechanism, senators made it clear that they want to include new
federal aid for small businesses in the next stimulus package,
which could come up for a vote later this month.

Democrats’ $1.5 Trillion Infrastructure Plan Is DOA:
McConnell

A $1.5 trillion infrastructure bill is expected to get a vote in
the House Wednesday, but according to Senate Majority Leader Mitch
McConnell (R-KY), the effort is for naught.

"So naturally this nonsense is not going anywhere in the Senate.
It will just join the list of absurd House proposals that were only
drawn up to show fealty to the radical left," McConnell said
Wednesday.

The White House also said it opposes the bill,
saying
Tuesday that it is "not a serious proposal"
and "entirely debt-financed."

The infrastructure package includes substantial increases in
spending for roads and bridges, clean water, rural broadband,
public housing, schools, hospitals and clean energy. Democrats have
not addressed how they plan to pay for the bill, but House Speakers
Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) recently said that "with the interest rates
where they are now there's never been a better time for us to go
big."

Pelosi also said she didn’t expect McConnell to embrace the
legislation. "As you know, the Grim Reaper said nothing is ever
going any place in the Senate," Pelosi said, using a nickname the
senator has given himself. "But there is tremendous interest in the
country in building the infrastructure."

US Public Health System Starved for Funds: Report

The coronavirus crisis is shining a light on the inadequacies of
the American public health system, which most experts agree is
significantly underfunded. A
new report
from Kaiser Health News and the
Associated Press documents the decline of the system over the last
decade and warns that the situation will likely get worse as
recession-driven budget cuts take their toll at the state and local
level.

Some key details from the report:

  • Per capita spending for state public health departments
    has dropped by 16% since 2010.
  • Spending for local health departments has fallen by 18%
    during the same time period.
  • More than 38,000 state and local public health jobs have
    been eliminated since the recession in 2008 — "leaving a skeletal
    workforce for what was once viewed as one of the world’s top public
    health systems."
  • The majority of Americans live in states that spend less
    than $100 per person per year on public health.
  • Less than a third of local health departments have an
    epidemiologist or statistician on staff.
  • Most local governments spend more on policing than on
    health.

As the coronavirus raged in April, Robert Redfield, the
director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, told
the reporters working on the report that his greatest regret was
"that our nation failed over decades to effectively invest in
public health."

Number of the Day: $323.1 Billion

U.S. hospitals and health systems will lose an estimated
$323.1 billion in 2020 as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic,
according to an American Hospital Association
report
published Tuesday. The analysis may
underrepresent the losses hospitals will face this year, the report
said, since it does not account for rising case rates in many
states, or potential future waves of the pandemic.

Send your tips and feedback to yrosenberg@thefiscaltimes.com.
Follow us on Twitter:
@yuvalrosenberg
,
@mdrainey
and
@TheFiscalTimes
. And please tell your
friends they can
sign up here
for their own copy of this
newsletter.

News

Views and Analysis