For Trump, Super Tuesday Is Looking Pretty Super
Policy + Politics

For Trump, Super Tuesday Is Looking Pretty Super


How confident is Donald Trump that he’s going to the Republican presidential nominee?

For starters, he’s predicting it will only take a few weeks to lock up the GOP nomination.

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"It's going to be an amazing two months," the billionaire said during his victory speech after his 22-point win in Tuesday’s Nevada caucus. "We might not even need the two months, to be honest."

And Trump is even starting to talk about what he’s looking for in a running mate.

"I would want somebody that could help me with government, so most likely that would be a political person," Trump said Wednesday during an appearance in Virginia.

And why shouldn’t the former reality star be feeling a little bit cocky? Five days ahead of Super Tuesday, a handy Real Clear Politics breakdown of polling averages and the latest surveys in the 12 mostly Southern states shows Trump besting his rivals, Sens. Ted Cruz (Tex.) and Marco Rubio (Fla.), Ohio Governor John Kasich and Ben Carson.

Here’s a snapshot of the numbers from Real Clear Politics:

State Trump Cruz Rubio Carson Kasich
Texas - 155 delegates 33% 27.80% 17.50% 5.4% 7%
Georgia - 76 delegates 35% 22.70% 19.30% 7.3% 6.3%
Tennessee - 58 delegates 29% 14% 12% 25% N/A
Alabama - 50 delegates 32.50% 11% 11.50% 11.50% N/A
Virginia - 49 delegates 29% 19% 22% 7% 7%
Oklahoma - 43 delegates 29.5% 22.50% 21% 6% 4%
Massachusetts - 42 delegates 41% 10% 17% 3.5% 7.5%
Arkansas - 40 delegates 23% 27% 23% 11% 4%
Minnesota - 38 delegates 20.70% 10.7% 14.70% 13.70% 2.5%
Colorado - 37 delegates 17% 14% 19% 25% 1%
Alaska - 28 delegates 28% 24% 9% 9% 2%
Vermont - 16 delegates 32% 11% 17% 3% 10%

Trump is dominating states beyond next Tuesday, as well. A Quinnipiac University survey released Thursday found him obliterating the rest of the GOP field in Florida, which holds its primary on Mar. 15.

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Trump leads Rubio, whose campaign has the Sunshine State will make or break his White House bid, 44 to 28 percent. Ninety-nine delegates are up for grabs in Florida.

Meanwhile, a Quinnipiac poll of Ohio, which also holds its primary on March 16, shows Trump besting Kasich by 5 points in the race to get its 66 delegates, 31 percent to 26 percent.

While the numbers could change depending on Thursday night’s GOP debate and how Super Tuesday shakes out, it’s increasingly difficult to pick a spot where Trump won’t win before becoming the Republican nominee.