'Tax Reform Is Hard. Keeping Tax Reform Is Harder': Highlights from the House Tax Cuts Hearing
The House Ways and Means Committee held a three-hour hearing Wednesday on the effects of the Republican tax overhaul. We tuned in so you wouldn’t have to.
As you might have expected, the hearing was mostly an opportunity for Republicans and Democrats to exercise their messaging on the benefits or dangers of the new law, and for the experts testifying to disagree whether the gains from the law would outweigh the costs. But there was also some consensus that it’s still very early to try to gauge the effects of the law that was signed into effect by President Trump less than five months ago.
“I would emphasize that, despite all the high-quality economic research that’s been done, never before has the best economy on the planet moved from a worldwide system of taxation to a territorial system of taxation. There is no precedent,” said Douglas Holtz-Eakin, president of the American Action Forum and former director of the Congressional Budget Office. “And in that way we do not really know the magnitude and the pace at which a lot of these [effects] will occur.”
Some key quotes from the hearing:
Rep. Richard Neal (D-MA), ranking Democrat on the committee: “This was not tax reform. This was a tax cut for people at the top. The problem that Republicans hope Americans overlook is the law’s devastating impact on your health care. In search of revenue to pay for corporate cuts, the GOP upended the health care system, causing 13 million Americans to lose their coverage. For others, health insurance premiums will spike by at least 10 percent, which translates to about $2,000 a year of extra costs per year for a family of four. … These new health expenses will dwarf any tax cuts promised to American families. … The fiscal irresponsibility of their law is stunning. Over the next 10 years they add $2.3 trillion to the nation’s debt to finance tax cuts for people at the top – all borrowed money. … When the bill comes due, Republicans intend to cut funding for programs like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security.”
David Farr, chairman and CEO of Emerson, and chairman of the National Association of Manufacturers: “We recently polled the NAM members, and the responses heard back from them on the tax reform are very significant and extremely positive: 86 percent report that they’ve already planned to increase investments, 77 percent report that they’ve already planned to increase hiring, 72 percent report that they’ve already planned to increase wages or benefits.”
Holtz-Eakin: “No, tax cuts don’t pay for themselves. If they did there would be no additional debt from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, and there is. The question is, is it worth it? Will the growth and the incentives that come from it be worth the additional federal debt. My judgment on that was yes. Reasonable people can disagree. … When we went into this exercise, there was $10 trillion in debt in the federal baseline, before the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. There was a dangerous rise in the debt-to-GDP ratio. It was my belief, and continues to be my belief, that those problems would not be addressed in a stagnant, slow-growth economy. Those are enormously important problems, and we needed to get growth going so we can also take them on.”
“Quite frankly, it’s not going to be possible to hold onto this beneficial tax reform if you don’t get the spending side under control. Tax reform is hard. Keeping tax reform is harder, and the growth consequences of not fixing the debt outlook are entirely negative and will overwhelm what you’ve done so far.”
Steven Rattner: "We would probably all agree that increases in our national debt of these kinds of orders of magnitude have a number of deleterious effects. First, they push interest rates up. … That not only increases the cost of borrowing for the federal government, it increases the cost of borrowing for private corporations whose debt is priced off of government paper. Secondly, it creates additional pressure on spending inside the budget to the extent anyone is actually trying to control the deficit. … And thirdly, and in my view perhaps most importantly, it’s a terrible intergenerational transfer. We are simply leaving for our children additional trillions of dollars of debt that at some point are going to have to be dealt with, or there are going to have to be very, very substantial cuts in benefits, including programs like Social Security and Medicare, in order to reckon with that.”
Undertrained Military Drone Pilots Have Senators Steaming
Lawmakers on Capitol Hill sent a scathing letter to Defense Secretary Ash Carter this week slamming the Pentagon for allowing Air Force and Army pilots to operate predator drones without completing their necessary training.
The revelation came in a report published last week by the Government Accountability Office that said most drone pilots never finished all of their training because of pilot shortages and a lack of planning and strategy within the Defense Department.
Related: Undertrained U.S. Drone Pilots Put War Effort at Risk
The report said that just about 35 percent of Air Force pilots had completed training for all their required missions. Separately, the Army had not been keeping sufficient pilot training records. “As a result, the Army does not know the full extent to which pilots have been trained and are therefore ready to be deployed,” the report said.
In the letter to Carter, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), chairman of the Senate Committee on Armed Services, and Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI), the ranking member of the committee, said they were “disturbed that the Department of Defense has no standardized training program for [unmanned aerial system] pilots and personnel.”
"The continued lack of consistent and uniform training standards is simply unacceptable. In addition to collecting critical intelligence, the department's UAS programs carry out sensitive strike missions that should require high standards and specialized training,” the letter said.
Related: The Duck Drone That Could Change the Navy
The senators slammed the Air Force for its lax training efforts and demanded that the military improve its process and resolve the pilot shortages.
"These pilot shortages have constrained training and place extreme strain on the existing community of pilots and sensor operators,” the senators wrote.
The GAO first called attention to the drone pilot shortages and training concerns last year. The auditors said that the military attempted to resolve the shortages by hiring more instructors, but the new report shows that the instructors, too, lacked sufficient training.
Twinkies Get Back a Little Respect
You can’t keep a good junk food down.
The New York Post is reporting today that several bidders have made offers in the $2 billion range for Hostess Brands LLC, the maker of Twinkies, Ho Hos and Ding Dongs, among other gut-bloating goodies.
Hostess filed for bankruptcy in early 2012, and the snack cake part of the business was bought out of liquidation two years ago by Apollo Global Management and C. Dean Metropoulos.
Citing sources, the Post said bidders include Grupo Bimbo, Flowers Food and Aryzta AG, a Swiss company.
If Hostess does command anywhere near $2 billion, it will be a sweet day for Apollo and Metropoulos. According to the Post, they bought the Twinkies maker for $410 million.
The Easiest Way to Cut Your Home Insurance Bills
Here's a simple way to potentially cut $150 from your annual insurance expenses: Raising your homeowners’ insurance deductible from $500 to $2,000 could lower your premiums by an average of 16 percent, according to a new report by InsuranceQuotes.com. Based on the average insurance premium of $978, that works out to more than $150 a year in savings.
Of course, that lower bill comes with some caveats. First, the amount you save could vary widely depending on where you live and other factors. In the new study, the savings from a higher deductible ranged from 41 percent for North Carolina homeowners to just 4 percent in Hawaii.
Second, a higher deductible means that you would be on the hook to pay more out of pocket before your insurance coverage kicks in if something happened to your home. Before making the switch, be sure you have enough money in your emergency savings to cover the total cost of the deductible.
“Consumers need to consider the bottom line before increasing deductibles,” Laura Adams, a senior analyst with InsuranceQuotes.com said in a statement. “While switching from a $500 deductible to a $5,000 deductible sounds appealing because it lowers home insurance premiums by an average of 28 percent, it could be a risky move for consumers who don’t maintain that much in savings.”
Related: The Best Time to Buy Car Insurance
Increasing a deductible from $500 to $1,000 resulted in an average savings of 6 percent nationally, ranging from 25 percent in North Caorlina to a low of 1 percent in Kentucky.
As your deductible gets higher, it may become less likely that you file a claim at all, since doing so will push your premium up. A separate analysis last fall by insuranceQuotes.com found that a single claim—even if it’s denied—can hike your homeowners’ insurance by an average of 9 percent a year, which can amount to hundreds of dollars.
Looking to Buy a Home? Do This First
Buying a home is stressful enough without getting blindsided with a higher-than-expected rate on your mortgage — or outright rejection — due to a low credit score or errors on your credit report.
Even so, only half of recent home buyers said they checked their credit report early on in the homebuying process, according to a report released by Experian.
That can make for some nerve-wracked meetings with lenders. About a third of those surveyed said that their credit score surprised them, and a fifth of buyers said their score was lower than expected. Fourteen percent of homebuyers found something negative on their credit report that they didn’t know about.
Related: Why Your Credit Score Is the Most Important Number in Your Life
A low credit score can have costly consequences. A borrower with a FICO score of 760, for example, would pay $1,360 per month on a $300,000 loan, while a borrower with a score of 759 would pay $1,397 per month on the same loan. That difference will add up to more than $10,000 over the life of a 30-year mortgage.
Forty-five percent of future homebuyers surveyed by Experian said that they had delayed purchasing a home in order to work on their credit and qualify for better rates.
If your score is lower than expected, first check the report for errors and contact the credit bureaus about correcting them. If you’ve been dinged for a single missed payment, call your credit card company to see if it will remove the incident from your reports. Then focus on making on-time payments and paying down any high balances to get your debt-to-income ratio below 25 percent.
The New Billionaires: Younger, Self-Made, More Diverse
Quick, picture a billionaire.
Chances are you conjured up an older, white man who inherited his fortune. That stereotype was pretty accurate for the past century, but times are changing.
Cultural and economic shifts over the past decade are realigning the demographics of the world’s 1 percent, and the billionaires of the future will be self-made, younger, and more diverse, according to a new report from UBS and PwC.
Last year, two-thirds of the world’s billionaires were self-made, compared with just 43 percent of billionaires 20 years ago. The report projects that the trend toward more self-made billionaires will continue get stronger over the next 5 to 10 years, peaking at about 70 percent of the billionaire population.
Related: Playgrounds of the Very Rich and Famous—A 2015 Guide
While two-thirds of current billionaires are over age 60, the average age is getting younger, thanks to both wealth transfers from the older generation and the growth of self-made billionaires.
In addition to getting younger, the report finds that billionaires are also increasingly more diverse. From 2003 to 2013, the number of female billionaires rose from 44 to 116. That’s still less than 10 percent, but it’s a number that’s growing fast.
Part of the trend toward diversity among billionaires is the explosive growth of wealth in Asia. In the first quarter of 2015, China created a new billionaire almost every week. The authors of the report expect that Asia will overtake the United States as the center of billionaire growth in the next decade.